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If 1% of COVID-19 cases result in death, does that mean you have a 1% chance of dying if you catch it? A mathematician explains the difference between a population statistic and your personal risk

  • Written by Joseph Stover, Associate Professor of Mathematics, Gonzaga University
If 1% of COVID-19 cases result in death, does that mean you have a 1% chance of dying if you catch it? A mathematician explains the difference between a population statistic and your personal riskThe risk of dying from COVID-19 varies from person to person.Jasmin Merdan/Moment via Getty Images

As of April 2023, about 1% of people who contracted COVID-19 ended up dying. Does that mean you have a 1% chance of dying from COVID-19?

That 1% is what epidemiologists call the case fatality rate, calculated by dividing the number of confirmed...

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