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Nobel Prizes, election outcomes and sports championships – prediction markets try to foresee the future

  • Written by Daniel O'Leary, Professor of Accounting and Information Systems, University of Southern California
Nobel Prizes, election outcomes and sports championships – prediction markets try to foresee the futureWho will be next to cross this stage and accept a Nobel Prize?Pascal Le Segretain/Getty Images News via Getty Images

Who will win Nobel Prizes in 2022? Wikipedia posits a handful of contenders for Physiology or Medicine, about 20 different possible winners for the Peace Prize and several dozen potential winners of the Literature Prize. But since...

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